Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.064538 0.071332 0.078760 0.087521 0.097623 0.108964 0.122743
2024-10-20 0.053937 0.063101 0.073921 0.087795 0.105343 0.127119 0.156703
2024-10-27 0.046334 0.056569 0.069384 0.086941 0.110908 0.143325 0.192052
2024-11-03 0.041583 0.052574 0.067027 0.087978 0.118576 0.163373 0.237596
2024-11-10 0.037954 0.049396 0.065070 0.088926 0.125909 0.184129 0.290025
2024-11-17 0.034700 0.046242 0.062596 0.088532 0.130870 0.201975 0.343032
2024-11-24 0.032402 0.044123 0.061258 0.089501 0.137953 0.224708 0.412912
2024-12-01 0.030480 0.042314 0.060108 0.090491 0.145093 0.249075 0.495809
2024-12-08 0.028777 0.040644 0.058942 0.091210 0.151765 0.274088 0.591472
2024-12-15 0.027128 0.038890 0.057432 0.091079 0.156734 0.296798 0.692871
2024-12-22 0.025482 0.036997 0.055492 0.089894 0.159364 0.315013 0.791948
2024-12-29 0.024540 0.036144 0.055188 0.091636 0.168266 0.350392 0.967564
2025-01-05 0.023086 0.034368 0.053184 0.089982 0.169784 0.368470 1.099746
2025-01-12 0.022158 0.033400 0.052505 0.090836 0.177113 0.404538 1.335063
2025-01-19 0.021093 0.032121 0.051159 0.090179 0.180829 0.431945 1.563340
2025-01-26 0.020378 0.031391 0.050737 0.091367 0.189270 0.476876 1.937319
2025-02-02 0.019700 0.030675 0.050276 0.092406 0.197574 0.525076 2.410407
2025-02-09 0.018899 0.029688 0.049218 0.092009 0.202047 0.562339 2.886483
2025-02-16 0.018328 0.029072 0.048821 0.093037 0.210668 0.619149 3.653765
2025-02-23 0.017798 0.028497 0.048452 0.094082 0.219617 0.682311 4.686783
2025-03-02 0.017273 0.027899 0.047987 0.094841 0.227938 0.747989 6.030888
2025-03-09 0.016692 0.027162 0.047188 0.094703 0.233517 0.805078 7.578059
2025-03-16 0.016044 0.026263 0.045992 0.093455 0.235336 0.845641 9.139300